Sharing my investment opinions/trade ideas as well as rationalizing them in words. All posts are personal opinions and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument, or to make any investments. Readers should do your own due diligence at all times.
There’re several wars going on.
The Strait of Hormuz is still closed.
There is an energy and oil crisis around the world.
Inflation is running high globally.
Yet.
S&P is near ATH, touching 7,500.
NASDAQ is near ATH, touching 29,600.
Dow is near ATH, touching 50,000.
What gives?
I decided to trial using sevens AI engines to help me place a Friday trade.
Below’s my dataset.
Essentially I’ve asked for the best trade recommendations to open on a Friday night, and close by end of day Monday.
I ended up opening a 200,000 long USDJPY position.
Lets see if it huats!
15 May Friday
Gemini | Long Oil |
Short NASDAQ100 | |
Long USDJPY | |
Long Put Options META/MSFT | |
Short AUDUSD |
Grok | Long Oil |
Long NASDAQ100 | |
Long USDJPY | |
Short Gold | |
Long S&P |
Claude | Long Oil |
Long Gold | |
Short EURUSD | |
Long USDJPY | |
Long Infrastructure or Defence |
Copilot | Long EURUSD |
Long AUDUSD | |
Long Gold | |
Short NASDAQ100 | |
Long Call Options NVDA/AMZN |
ChatGPT | Long NASDAQ100 |
Long AUDUSD | |
Long Gold | |
Short USDJPY | |
Long HS Tech Index |
DeepSeek | Long NASDAQ100 |
Long NVDA | |
Long USDJPY | |
Short Gold | |
Short GBPUSD |
Perplexity | Long Gold |
Long USDJPY | |
Long NASDAQ100 | |
Short EURUSD | |
Long S&P |
TOP TRADE IDEAS
CLOSE BY 2359 MONDAY
Trade Idea | Votes For | Votes Against |
Long USDJPY | 5 | 1 |
Long Gold | 4 | 2 |
Long NASDAQ100 | 4 | 2 |
Long Oil | 3 | 0 |
FINAL TRADE
Long USDJPY 200,000
To close by 2359 Monday
Here’s my very own magnificent seven AutoInvest portfolios!
I’m hoping with great discipline, these portfolios will help me FIRE earlier than planned!
1. Boglehead
2. China Power
3. Dividends
4. Greatest Risk
5. JIBVISC
6. Max Aggressive
7. Purely CSPX
The NASDAQ pumped for 11 days in a row.
All while the world is still in disarray. The Iran War is still ongoing and there is a brewing global energy crisis.
So it’s true that the stock markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.
Take care out there!
This is getting very worrying.
There is an energy crisis unfolding in front of everyone that feels MUCH worse than what the stock market is actually trading.
Maybe it’s just me.
The war does not look like it will end soon, and instead look more likely to escalate.
Oil is already around $110-$120.
Gold has dropped to $4,600.
The NASDAQ is now at 23,500.
All that correlations aren’t making sense.
Yet holding cash is scary because inflation is rearing its ugly head.
Prices are already going up all around us!
Please take care.
Here’s an interesting problem I am currently facing.
Say you invested a significant amount X into a stock that you believe in strongly. A very high conviction stock.
Said stock manages to 2X in six months, at which point you could sell off, realize the gains, place it into fixed deposits and earn $1,000/mth in interest at current interest rates, guaranteed.
OR
The stock turnaround has only just begun and the reasons it has already 2X are the same reasons of very high probability it could possibly propel the stock price to an even higher level of 3-5X in the next 1-2 years.
Which would you choose to do?
There appears no end in sight.
Trump definitely doesn’t know what he’s gotten himself into.
Iran is surviving better than most would’ve expected.
The people in the GCC especially Dubai and Doha, do not seem to be alarmed by the fact that this war is only just beginning and rescue flights can still go in and out of the GCC states. Who knows if this will escalate further and desalinations plants, more oil depots and airports will be completely decapacitated. Only then will true panic set in.
Hopefully this whole situation will deescalate instead but let’s see.
Trump is definitely going to find it very difficult to 下台 now.
It’s been a very weird year so far.
The general feeling is negative.
Life isn’t great, health is great, family stuff isn’t great, work stress is rising.
Haven’t travelled at all this year and have ZERO travel plans and it’s already March.
Yet wealth is increasing at the fastest pace ever.
It’s a very weird year that feels very off somehow.
Hopefully the not so good parts will improve.
The US and Israel have begun preemptive strikes on Iran.
This was somewhat expected considering the recent military buildup and warnings.
Gold and silver will certainly spike upwards.
So will oil obviously.
The stock markets will tank come Monday but there is a bit of dependency on whether there is any deescalation tomorrow.
Always notable that Trump always starts market tanking shit on Saturdays so I would not be surprised if they get back to the negotiating table before Monday’s open.
Let’s see what’s going to happen.
Ok so here’s my goal in the medium term since I am getting on with age after all.
I hope to retire by age 55.
I hope to have at least $2.5m in liquid investible assets at 55.
So there, I said it.
Now to work towards this goal.